Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.410137 0.446825 0.486598 0.533143 0.586409 0.645812 0.717559
2025-11-09 0.343042 0.392469 0.450097 0.523169 0.614717 0.727531 0.880211
2025-11-16 0.303005 0.357664 0.424483 0.513947 0.633459 0.792121 1.027112
2025-11-23 0.275086 0.332360 0.404932 0.506297 0.648882 0.850336 1.173313
2025-11-30 0.259739 0.320481 0.400005 0.515564 0.686393 0.943206 1.390452
2025-12-07 0.243380 0.305277 0.388438 0.513205 0.705394 1.010080 1.581488
2025-12-14 0.229506 0.291991 0.377853 0.510370 0.722247 1.075184 1.786444
2025-12-21 0.214547 0.275938 0.361771 0.497206 0.720264 1.107139 1.935784
2025-12-28 0.208662 0.272083 0.362736 0.509928 0.762019 1.223827 2.301807
2026-01-04 0.201914 0.266411 0.360383 0.516851 0.794400 1.329185 2.685971
2026-01-11 0.194274 0.258874 0.354522 0.517235 0.814794 1.414547 3.059097
2026-01-18 0.185227 0.248681 0.343800 0.508322 0.816484 1.460500 3.344992
2026-01-25 0.175811 0.237683 0.331493 0.496292 0.812050 1.495406 3.629397
2026-02-01 0.167621 0.228181 0.321057 0.486787 0.811772 1.541166 3.984951
2026-02-08 0.160366 0.219728 0.311754 0.478437 0.812683 1.590232 4.390039
2026-02-15 0.153987 0.212306 0.303658 0.471534 0.815648 1.645402 4.866515
2026-02-22 0.150994 0.210018 0.303847 0.479892 0.852464 1.800206 5.941160
2026-03-01 0.146305 0.204791 0.298760 0.477765 0.865698 1.893576 6.835324
2026-03-08 0.141869 0.199755 0.293691 0.475209 0.877584 1.986929 7.871324
2026-03-15 0.136156 0.192408 0.284257 0.463328 0.865965 2.004616 8.455610
2026-03-22 0.134647 0.191829 0.286494 0.474810 0.912265 2.225427 10.996505
2026-03-29 0.132375 0.189876 0.286179 0.481052 0.946644 2.420384 13.972698
2026-04-05 0.129337 0.186514 0.283156 0.481399 0.965938 2.568764 17.088472